A top aide to the Ukrainian government on national security has warned that the West should be ready for Russia to fall apart totally, just like the Soviet Union did.
Oleksiy Danilov, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, told The Times of London this week that the breakup of the Russian Federation, one of the world’s two nuclear superpowers, is “underway” and will happen in the next few years. This will have major geopolitical effects that will be felt for a long time.
Danilov told a British newspaper, “The West doesn’t know Russia, and the West fears that Russia will break up.” But “this action is taking place right now.”
The top official in charge of security in Ukraine says that the “spectacular” fall will happen in the next three to seven years. He also said, “It’s a part of history, and you can’t stop history.”
Danilov said that when the state run by Vladimir Putin broke up, Moscow would lose control of its land in the Caucasus and the pro-Russian breakaway Georgian region of Abkhazia. This would be similar to what happened when the Soviet Union broke up.
The head of Ukrainian security also said that Communist China would try to use the fallout to expand its borders into Siberia, which is legally part of Russia but has a lot of ethnic Chinese living there. The West is especially worried about this. Siberia has a lot of natural gas and fuels, which China doesn’t have enough of.
Danilov said that letting China buy Russian land would be dangerous for the West because it would solve one problem but create another. “The West must move forward now.”
Danilov said that Putin’s meeting with Chinese ruler Xi Jinping last month showed Russia’s weakness. He said that it showed the world who is really in charge of Moscow now, after Russia’s failed attempts to take over the Ukrainian city Kyiv last year.
He thought that China, which is a big country, would become a strong enemy of the Anglo-Saxon world. The owner in Russia now has the property. Russia will no longer be able to do anything important without them. Russia’s freedom was taken away totally. We can’t ignore that truth.
When asked if he thought Putin would use nuclear weapons if the country looked like it was about to fall apart, Danilov said, “If the Chinese let them, they will.” Obviously not, if not. China is the right place to ask that question.
In the last few weeks, there have been more and more threats of a nuclear war in Ukraine. Vladimir Putin said that Russia would move nuclear weapons into Belarus, which is a nearby puppet state. Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said on Tuesday that Belarusian fighter planes are able to carry nuclear bombs.
The International Criminal Court’s decision to issue an arrest order for Vladimir Putin has led to more threats from the Kremlin to use nuclear weapons. However, the fall of the Putin government could be an even bigger threat in this way.
If the Russian Federation broke up, there would be a mad rush to secure the country’s 5,977 nuclear weapons, of which 1,588 are thought to be in use at the moment.
For almost a decade, mass migration has been a problem for Europe. Most recently, a huge number of Ukrainian refugees have fled their country. If the Russian Federation fell apart, millions, if not tens of millions, of people would rush to Europe to escape the chaos.